Week 4 - College Football

I am finaly back and here to stay.....

This year I am going to give you my 10 Best Bets and then all the rest of the games, I am going to try and incorporate 1 over / under per week as well just because this is my blog and I can do what I want.

I posted my overal record against the spread from last year, lets see if I can get in the 60% range.

10. Over / Under Louisville @ Syracuse 67.5 --- take - OVER

Syracuse is God awful and so is Louisville's Defense. If Syracuse can muster 10 measly points then this should be a no brainer OVER. Washington and Illinois both scored over 40 against this team. I expect Louisville to have 40 at the half. I'm usually not big on over / under bets but this one will be OVER.

9. Arizona (+13.5) @ California --- take - CALIFORNIA

California's offense is explosive. And so is their Special Teams with 1st rounder Desean Jackson, who is a thrill to watch. Arizona is having a down year barely getting by New Mexico by 2 last week. Jackson should cover the spread by himself. Cal 42 Arizona 20.

8. Iowa (+8) @ Wisconsin ---- take - WISCONSIN

I know, I know Wisconsin has been barely winning against teams that they should be pounding and they have heard this as well. Camp Randall Stadium will be going crazy for this one as they know their team has a good shot of winning the Big 10 conference. Iowa is coming off a defeat by the in state foe Iowa State (15-13). Iowa has a strong strong Defense but that offense is horrendous. I expect this to be close at the half with Wisconsin dominating the 2nd half. Wisconsin 31 Iowa 13.

7. Penn State (-3) @ Michigan --- take - PENN STATE

Penn State has not won at the Big House in about a decade, which is almost half of my life. But anyway PSU fans have to be thrilled that Chad Henne is not starting this game as Buffalo threw all over them last week. PSU should come out throwing to establish a nasty running game with Kinlaw, Scott and Royster. Michigan's D has given up 167 yards rushing per game while PSU has given up 17 yards per game, now I know their opponents have not been the same other than Notre Dame, but this is PSU's year to win the Big 10 and it starts today. Penn State 27 Michigan 13.

6. Illinois (-2) @ Indiana --- take -- ILLIONOIS

Wow 3 Big 10 games in a row. This game will be won at the line of scrimmage. Illinois rushes for over 250 yards per game, while the hoosiers give up only 60 yards rushing per game. The atlethicism of Juice Williams will be too much for Indiana to handle. Illinois is on the rise and will show that they are no longer the bottom of the Big 10. Illinois 37 Indiana 21.

5. Clemson (-7.5) @ N. C. State --- take --- CLEMSON

I hate taking so many away teams, but what can you do. I have always loved the passing game, today I am focusing on rushing and there may not be a better combination in the country (arkansas, wvu) then what Clemson has going down in Death Valley. So far this year they have been successful throwing the ball as teams are stacking the line to stop the rush. N.C. State has had a problem with turnovers and I expect that to continue to today with Clemon's ferocious pass rush. Clemson 31 N.C. State 17

4. Air Force (+13.5) @ BYU --- take -- AIR FORCE

This is my first underdog pick and I am falling into a trap. BYU lost to a Tulsa team that got pounded last night although it was agaisnt Oklahoma 55-47 and lost to UCLA 27-17. Meanwhile, Air Force beat TCU 20-17 and won at Utah 20-12. This is the same Utah team that beat UCLA last week 44-6, something just doesn't smell right here but numbers don't lie or do they? Air Force 24 BYU 21

3. Troy State (-9.5) @ Louisiana-Lafayette ---take---TROY

The Men of Troy have played surpringsly well against Arkansas and Florid and man handled Oklahoma State last week 41-23. Troy is all about the passing game and look for them to have over 400 yards in the air. No way La-Lafayette is better then the Cowboys of Okie State. I must put out a disclaimer that it may be raining in LA today, but go with it anyway. Troy 38 La Lafayette 17.

2. Oregon (-18) @ Stanford --- take --- OREGON

Oregon in my opinion is the nubmer 2 Pac-10 team behind USC and their team is clicking on all cylinders, meanwhile, Stanford has to be one of the worst temas in the Pac-10. Oregon went into the Big House and physically dominated a physical Big 10 team in Michigan and slowed Houston's high powered offense to 27 points. Meanwhile Stanford got spanked by UCLA 45-17, expect the same today. Oregon 52 Stanford 24.

1. Iowa State (-3.5) @ Toledo -- take --- IOWA STATE

Toledo has to be one of the worst Defense's in the country, giving up 52, 52 and 45 to Purdue, Central Michigan and Kansas. Oh and they give up over 500 yards per game. NOT GOOD. Iowa State's offense has yet to get on track but do have a solid D giving up 23, 24, and 13 points to Kent State Northern Iowa and Iowa. I'm not saying Iowa State is a great team, but I see them pulling this one off and scoring around 35 points. Iowa State 35 Toledo 24.


The Rest:
Syracuse (+37) 17 Louisville 63
Kent St (-2.5) 24 Akron 21
Georgia Tech (-4.5) 31 Virginia 20
Temple (+21.5) 13 Bowling Green 42
ECU (+25) 14 WVU 45
UNC (+13.5) 17 So. Fla 34
Ball St (+24.5) 10 Nebraska 42
Florida (-24.5) 38 Mississippi 13
Duke (+14.5) 20 Navy 28
Army (+27.5) 13 BC 38
Wyoming (-4.5) 28 Ohio 21
Miami Oh (+13) 14 Colorado 31
Northwestern (+24.5) 14 Ohio State 38
TT (-6.5) 42 Ok St. 28
Michigan St (-11) 28 ND 13
Memphis (+7) 17 C. Florida 27
Maryland (+4) 24 Wake Forest 31
S. Carolina (+18.5) 20 LSU 38
Col St (+7) 20 Houston 35
No. Ill (+13.5) 23 Idaho 28
Baylor (-3) 28 Buffalo 21
Kentucky (+7) 28 Arkansas 31
N.M. St. (+16.5) 13 Auburn 42
Uconn (+9.5) 13 Pitt 24
Rice (+28) 17 Texas 42
Florida Atl (-7) 31 N. Texas 10
Arkansas St (+20) 17 Tenn 38
Marshall (+24.5) 13 Cinncy 45
Georgia (+3.5) 21 Alabama 31
Wash St (+25) 20 USC 49
San Jose St (+3.5) 20 Utah St. 31
SMU (+24) 10 TCU 35
Purdue (-14.5) 38 Minnesota 20
Utah (-8) 31 UNLV 13
Oregon St (+12) 27 Arizona State 42
Wash (+6.5) 31 UCLA 28